
No. 5 Florida vs Mississippi State (Tuesday, 8 pm)
Monday, March 2, 2026 | Men's Basketball, Chris Harry
No. 5 Florida vs. Mississippi State
* When: Tuesday, 8 p.m. (ET)
* Where: Exactech Arena/O'Connell Center / Gainesville, Fla.
* Records: Florida (23-6, 14-2) / Mississippi State (13-16, 5-11)
* Series/Last meeting: UF leads 69-53. The two last met Feb. 11, 2025 at Starkville, where the short-handed Gators got elite performances from a pair of usual reserves in guard Denzel Aberdeen and forward Thomas Haugh on the way to an 81-68 road defeat of the 22nd-ranked Bulldogs. Already without starting guard Alijah Martin, UF lost forward Alex Condon to an ankle injury just 30 seconds into the game. UF trailed by a point at the half, but shot 55% in the second, including eight of 16 from the 3-point line, for the comeback. Aberdeen, in his third career start, equaled his career-high of 20 points, while Haugh stepped into Condon's spot and messed around with a triple-double, finishing with 16 points, nine rebounds, a career-high eight assists and two blocks over 37 minutes. Point guard Walter Clayton Jr. was superb as well with 19 points, six rebounds, six assists and just one turnover in 37 minutes.
* TV: SEC Network (Matt Schumacker and Richard Hendrix)
* Radio: Gator Sports Network from LEARFIELD / Stations list
(with Sean Kelley, Brian Hogan and Steve Egan)
* Ticket info
Projected Starters
| Florida | Position | Height / Weight | Class | Statistics |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Condon | F | 6-11 / 230 | Junior | 14.4 pts / 7.8 reb |
| Rueben Chinyelu | C | 6-10 / 255 | Junior | 11.3 pts / 11.7 reb |
| Thomas Haugh | F | 6-9 / 215 | Junior | 17.1 pts / 6.0 reb |
| Xaivian Lee | G | 6-4 / 185 | Senior | 11.4 pts / 3.7 reb / 4.1 ast |
| Boogie Fland | G | 6-3 / 185 | Sophomore | 11.6 pts / 2.6 reb |
| Mississippi State | Position | Height / Weight | Class | Statistics |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Achor Achor | F | 6-9 / 230 | Senior | 6.2 pts / 6.4 reb |
| Quincy Ballard | C | 7-0 / 260 | Senior | 6.5 pts / 6.1 reb |
| Shawn Jones Jr. | G | 6-6 / 205 | Senior | 5.5 pts / 4.1 reb |
| Jayden Epps | G | 6-2 / 190 | Senior | 13.7 pts / 2.4 reb |
| Josh Hubbard | G | 6-0 / 190 | Junior | 21.4 pts / 2.5 reb / 3.6 ast |
The Setup
Tale of the Tape
| Florida | Statistics | Mississippi State |
|---|---|---|
| 87.1 | Scoring | 77.7 |
| .479 | Field-goal percentage | .447 |
| .308 | 3-point percentage | .323 |
| 71.4 | Scoring defense | 80.3 |
| .405 | Field-goal percentage defense | .437 |
| .320 | 3-point percentage defense | .328 |
| 4th | KenPom.com overall ranking | 96th |
| 11th | KenPom.com offensive efficiency | 109th |
| 4th | KenPom.com defensive efficiency | 95th |
| 24th | KenPom.com adjusted tempo | 80th |
| 4th | NCAA Evaluation Tool (NET) ranking | 105th |
| 4th | Overall strength of schedule ranking | 25th |
The Breakdown
About the Bulldogs: It's their fourth season under Chris Jans (76-56 overall, 29-41 SEC) and shaping up like his first without a NCAA Tournament berth. MSU went 8-10 in league in each of Jans' first three seasons, so not only will the Bulldogs not achieve that mark, but it'll take a magical run to a title in Nashville to get them into "March Madness." ... MSU lost five games during a weak non-conference slate, then opened the SEC with a win at Texas (the highest-rated victory on the Bulldogs' resume to date) and home against Oklahoma before spinning into a losing skid of five straight and eight of nine. Among their five league wins is a home defeat of Auburn (which is something the Gators could not do), so there's that. ... In the home loss Saturday against Missouri, State trailed 26-8 after 10 minutes and 54-23 at halftime, while turning the ball over 18 times in a game that never was close. ... Statistically, the Bulldogs stand out at nothing, ranking near the bottom or bottom half of the league in offense and defensive efficiency, offensive and defensive turnover percentage and offensive rebounding. ... Point guard Josh Hubbard, the SEC's No. 2 scorer, is one of the biggest gunners in the conference, and despite attempting more 3s than anyone in the league his efficiency is down from years past. He's at 34.4% overall and 32.9 in league play. That's not to say he can't go off on a given night, evidenced by a three-game run just a couple weeks ago of 31 in a home loss to Tennessee, 32 in a win at Ole Miss and 46 in the win over Auburn, when he dropped 35 (get this) in the first half. Hubbard also hung 38 on Texas in the SEC opener. ... The front court tandem of Quincy Ballard and Achor Achor (no relation to Texas A&M forward Federicko Federicko) each average a team-best six-plus rebounds a game. The Gators have four guys who average 5.9 or better, so the battle underneath could be a lopsided one.
Numbers of Note
* 14 — Games this season the Gators have scored at least 90 points, breaking the program record of 13 by the 2012-13 team. The team's current average of 87.1 points per game is on pace to break the record of 85.6 set during the '23-24 season.
* 139 — Number of games Golden has coached at Florida after Tuesday's game at MSU. Should the Gators beat the Bulldogs and give Golden his 100th victory at UF, he would trump by 15 games (or nearly half aseason) the 154 it took Donovan to get there from 1996-2001. In SEC history, only John Calipari at Kentucky (123) and Tubby Smith at Kentucky (110) have won more through their first four seasons than Golden.
Bottom Line
Look for Gators to be both great (as in on the floor) and greedy (with no intent on sharing the SEC title).Email senior writer Chris Harry at chrish@gators.ufl.edu. Find his story archives here.
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